Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.