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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Colchester United

Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester

Milsom (45+9' pen.)
Randall (69'), Kizzi (90+5')
Boldewijn (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (18'), Ashley (45+1'), Tchamadeu (69'), Tovide (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Colchester United

 With both sides focused very much on caution and limitation as a means to gain results, and with neither side being flushed for goals this season, it is hard to see past the likelihood of a draw this weekend. Randall's potential absence will be a big loss for Sutton in attack, whilst Colchester may find a draw away from home to be worth grinding out for at Gander Green Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
50.22% (0.276 0.28) 27.1% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.199 0.2)60.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.151 0.15)80.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.215 0.22)24.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.305 0.31)58.51% (-0.303 -0.3)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)42.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)78.84% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 50.2%
    Colchester United 22.68%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.68%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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