MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:44:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Stevenage

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (25')
Clark (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stevenage

Stevenage are real contenders for the League Two title, but travelling to Swindon will prove to be a tough test, considering that they have not won in their last four league away games. If any team takes the three points, it is likely to be the visitors, but we expect the spoils to be shared in a very closely-contested game, given that the hosts will be full of confidence after an emphatic win in their last match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
33.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.37% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.52% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.5% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.151 -0.15)66.72% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.16%
    Stevenage 38.3%
    Draw 28.53%
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stevenage

Swindon Town
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stevenage
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-0
Swindon
Roberts (11', 60')
Piergianni (45+3')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Swindon
0-0
Stevenage

Reed (40'), Iandolo (79')

Reeves (75')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Stevenage
1-1
Swindon
Coker (54')
Payne (90+5' pen.)
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Stevenage
Doyle (90')
Grant (12'), Fryers (61'), Doyle (92')

Parrett (79'), Denton (90'), Farman (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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