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Ligue 1
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Rennes

Brest
1 - 2
Rennes

Belkebla (36' pen.)
Magnetti (42'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Lemarechal (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bourigeaud (13', 45+4' pen.)
Gouiri (42'), Meling (83'), Bourigeaud (85'), Alemdar (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Monaco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-2 Rennes

 Knowing that three points will guarantee European football for next season, Rennes will likely go all out to secure the win on Saturday, but in-form Brest will not go down without a fight. Given that Brest have won each of their last three matches – and each of their previous five on home soil – we expect the Pirates to frustrate the European chasers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawRennes
26.47% (-1.313 -1.31) 26.03% (0.183 0.18) 47.5% (1.131 1.13)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-1.52 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-1.509 -1.51)53.69% (1.509 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-1.285 -1.29)75.18% (1.285 1.29)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-1.859 -1.86)35.35% (1.858 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-1.984 -1.98)72.11% (1.985 1.99)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.124 -0.12)22.6% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)56.22% (0.18 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Brest 26.47%
    Rennes 47.5%
    Draw 26.02%
BrestDrawRennes
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.462 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.65 0.65)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.84% (0.45 0.45)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 47.5%

How you voted: Brest vs Rennes

Brest
29.0%
Draw
29.0%
Rennes
41.9%
31
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Rennes
3-1
Brest
Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
Honorat (57')
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
gameweek 23
Rennes
2-0
Brest
Laborde (20'), Terrier (90')
Martin (1'), Santamaria (31'), Terrier (59')

Del Castillo (52')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Rennes
Le Douaron (90+1')
Honorat (39'), Brassier (44')
Guirassy (84')
Bourigeaud (44'), Ugochukwu (80'), Traore (88')
Jan 17, 2021 12pm
gameweek 20
Brest
1-2
Rennes
Honorat (4')
Herelle (84')
Bourigeaud (7'), Grenier (77' pen.)
Bourigeaud (56')
Oct 31, 2020 4pm
gameweek 9
Rennes
2-1
Brest
Da Silva (66'), Aguerd (70')
Henrique (32')
Honorat (57')
Honorat (64'), Perraud (72'), Charbonnier (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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