Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Francis Turcan
Martigues0 - 3Caen
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Martigues and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Martigues
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Troyes
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Martigues | Draw | Caen |
27.33% ( 0.2) | 26.51% ( 0.19) | 46.15% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( -0.61) | 55.02% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% ( -0.51) | 76.29% ( 0.5) |
Martigues Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.17) | 35.36% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.17) | 72.12% ( 0.17) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.45) | 23.8% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.03% ( -0.65) | 57.96% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Martigues 27.33%
Caen 46.14%
Draw 26.5%
Martigues | Draw | Caen |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.14% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-30 13:15:34
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 40 |
2 | Metz | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 37 |
4 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 36 |
5 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
6 | Laval | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 33 |
7 | Annecy | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
8 | PauPau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Grenoble | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
10 | Bastia | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
12 | Clermont | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 23 |
14 | Red Star | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Troyes | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Ajaccio | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
17 | Caen | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
18 | Martigues | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
> Ligue 2 Full Table |
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