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Brentford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Liverpool logo

Brentford
3 - 3
Liverpool

Pinnock (27'), Janelt (63'), Wissa (82')
Onyeka (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jota (31'), Salah (54'), Jones (67')
Robertson (70')

Preview: Brentford vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to continue their strong start to life in the Premier League, Brentford prepare to play host to Liverpool in Saturday evening's showdown.

Both sides enter the contest having marched to convincing wins in their respective EFL Cup showdowns, with Thomas Frank's side putting seven past Oldham Athletic while the Reds eased to a 3-0 win over Norwich City.


Match preview

Brentford's Marcus Forss celebrates scoring their fifth goal against Oldham in the EFL Cup on September 21, 2021© Reuters

The week for four-goal Premier League heroes in the EFL Cup saw Marcus Forss steal the show for Brentford against Oldham, with the Finnish forward scoring four of his side's seven goals in a 7-0 drubbing on Tuesday evening.

New signing Yoane Wissa netted a brace of his own while Oldham's Raphael Diarra turned into his own net, but Brentford have four challenging league showdowns with Liverpool, West Ham United, Chelsea and Leicester City to tackle before their fourth-round clash with Stoke City.

However, the Bees' impressive opening haul of eight points from the first 15 on offer sees them sit comfortably in ninth position, and if last weekend's win over Wolverhampton Wanderers is anything to go by, Ivan Toney is finally hitting his stride in the big time.

Brentford's success over Wolves was all the more impressive given that they had to navigate the final 30 minutes with 10 men, and Frank's side prepare to welcome Liverpool to a ground where they have already got the better of Arsenal this term.

Furthermore, only Chelsea, Manchester City and upcoming opponents Liverpool have shipped fewer than Brentford's two goals so far, although that stellar record will be tested to the extreme against Jurgen Klopp's well-oiled machine.

Liverpool's Takumi Minamino celebrates scoring their first goal against Norwich City in the EFL Cup on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Takumi Minamino took all of four minutes to stamp his authority on the Carrow Road turf in the EFL Cup, as the Japan international's early strike set Liverpool on their way to a comfortable 3-0 success over the Premier League's basement side in round three.

Minamino would add some gloss to the scoreline with his second in the final 10 minutes after Divock Origi had already put the tie to bed, with that success in Norwich marking the fourth game in a row in all competitions that Liverpool have chalked up three goals.

Now able to boast six wins and a draw from their opening seven games continentally and domestically, Liverpool are one of three sides sitting on 13 points from a possible 15 so far, and they will witness one of Chelsea or Manchester City drop points in the day's early kickoff.

The Reds have also won each of their last three Premier League away games by a 3-0 scoreline and have embarked on a nine-game unbeaten run on the road in the top flight, but Brentford have proven that they are not here just to make up the numbers.

It has been 32 years since Liverpool and Brentford last locked horns in any competition, with the Reds easing to a 4-0 win in the sixth round of the 1988-89 FA Cup, during which Peter Beardsley (2) and John Barnes both found the back of the net.

Brentford Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Brentford form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Liverpool's Roberto Firmino is substituted after an injury on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Brentford will be forced into a midfield alteration following Shandon Baptiste's red card against Wolves, while Josh Dasilva and Mads Sorensen are still out injured.

Saman Ghoddos helped himself to three assists against Oldham and will hope to fill the void left by Baptiste's absence, but Frank Onyeka is another option for Frank.

Despite bagging six goals between them in the EFL Cup, Wissa and Forss's chances of replacing Toney or Bryan Mbeumo in the first XI for the Premier League are slim to none.

Liverpool will hope to welcome Roberto Firmino and Trent Alexander-Arnold back in time for this game, with both players expected to feature after battling back from a thigh injury and illness respectively.

Thiago Alcantara's calf problem he sustained against Crystal Palace is set to keep him out alongside Harvey Elliott, while Neco Williams is a doubt and Naby Keita has been ruled out by Klopp.

Klopp does have the Champions League tie with Porto to keep in mind but should still revert to his strongest XI regardless, with Mohamed Salah, Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane all set for recalls.

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Ajer, Pinnock, Jansson; Canos, Norgaard, Ghoddos, Janelt, Henry; Mbeumo, Toney

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Matip, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Jones; Salah, Jota, Mane


SM words green background

We say: Brentford 0-2 Liverpool

Liverpool cannot expect to break down Brentford's staunch defence at will this weekend, and Klopp may have one eye on upcoming battles with Porto and Manchester City.

However, most of the visitors' big-hitters are well-rested and are simply flying away from home in the top flight, so we still expect Liverpool to record a straightforward win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brentford vs Liverpool

Brentford
14.2%
Draw
8.7%
Liverpool
77.0%
344
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Brentford's Marcus Forss celebrates scoring their fifth goal against Oldham in the EFL Cup on September 21, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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