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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Austin
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Rigoni (40'), Driussi (78')
Lima (90+7'), Pereira (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yueill (21'), Ebobisse (75')
Monteiro (68'), Yueill (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

 While San Jose Earthquakes will be looking to restore some pride following their cup exit, they face an Austin side who have been near impenetrable on home turf. Austin's home advantage gives them a slight edge heading into the weekend and we are backing them to end their winless run against the Quakes.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
59.43% (-1.171 -1.17) 20.7% (0.465 0.47) 19.87% (0.701 0.7)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-1.132 -1.13)37.58% (1.129 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.226 -1.23)59.81% (1.223 1.22)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-0.676 -0.68)12.36% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.78% (-1.429 -1.43)38.21% (1.426 1.43)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.82% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.43%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.87%
    Draw 20.7%
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 59.43%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.87%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2am
Austin
3-3
Earthquakes
Cascante (6'), Driussi (26', 44')
Driussi (23'), Stuver (60')
Kikanovic (8'), Marie (20'), Ebobisse (88')
Beason (39'), Yueill (84')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Austin
Ebobisse (70' pen.), Cowell (72')
Marie (31'), Calvo (79'), Bouda (85')
Urruti (11'), Driussi (52' pen.)
Fagundez (42'), Pereira (72'), Redes (77')
Oct 21, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 41
Earthquakes
4-0
Austin
Lopez (47'), Kikanovic (53'), Wondolowski (59'), Fierro (85')
Cardoso (25'), Lopez (81')

Romana (39'), Ring (45+1')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
gameweek 34
Austin
3-4
Earthquakes
Jun 20, 2021 2am
gameweek 11
Austin
0-0
Earthquakes

Stroud (44')

Jungwirth (15'), Remedi (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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