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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
National Sports Center
Houston Dynamo

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Houston

Picault (79' og.), Amarilla (84')
Reynoso (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baird (45+1')
Carrasquilla (37'), Steres (63'), Parker (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Austin
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Houston
Sunday, August 21 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 3-0 Houston Dynamo

 Houston Dynamo have got a lot to play for right now considering their league position, and after securing a draw in their most recent match they will be set to push their opponents in this one. However, Minnesota have been one of the strongest teams in the MLS this season, and that is something that should lead to them securing a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
55.32% (-0.227 -0.23) 22.94% (0.052 0.05) 21.74% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.6% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)16.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.15 -0.15)45.72% (0.152 0.15)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (0.16499999999999 0.16)34.91% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.172 0.17)71.65% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 55.31%
    Houston Dynamo 21.74%
    Draw 22.93%
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Houston

Minnesota United
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Houston Dynamo
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
Houston
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Picault (86')
Lundqvist (8'), Dorsey (59')
Fragapane (45+2'), Hlongwane (72')
Sep 26, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (1'), Finlay (17')
Reynoso (40')

Quintero (41'), Junqua (72')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
Houston
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Carrasquilla (1')
Dorsey (61'), Hadebe (73'), Valentin (77')
Hunou (16', 73')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (14'), Kallman (71')

Rodriguez (21'), Junqua (21'), Jones (62')
Oct 19, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Houston
Finlay (11', 30')
Hayes (90+4')
Rodriguez (59'), Hansen (84')
Lundqvist (10')
rhs 2.0
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3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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