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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Seattle

Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Colorado
Saturday, March 16 at 7.55pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Seattle Sounders

 San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have both stumbled into the new campaign and will be looking to find their feet this weekend. The Quakes' home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we finally see them ending their losing streak in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
43.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 25.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.31% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.164 0.16)47.38% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.152 0.15)69.6% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)54.91% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (0.158 0.16)28.49% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.198 0.2)64.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 43.58%
    Seattle Sounders 31.31%
    Draw 25.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.31%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
57.6%
Draw
39.4%
Seattle Sounders
3.0%
33
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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