Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
BMO Field
Toronto3 - 1Chicago Fire
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 52.85% | 23.75% | 23.4% |
| Both teams to score 54.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% | 46.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% | 69.22% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% | 17.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.95% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 52.85%
Chicago Fire 23.4%
Draw 23.75%
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.85% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.4% |
How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire
Toronto
66.7%Draw
33.3%Chicago Fire
0.0%12
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Gameweek 33
Chicago Fire
P-P
Toronto
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Gameweek 23
Toronto
P-P
Chicago Fire
Apr 6, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 6
Toronto
2-2
Chicago Fire
Form Guide
