Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guinea U23s had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Guinea U23s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.