Despite getting beat by France, the USA should avoid defeat against a side motivated to notch consecutive triumphs. With New Zealand not possessing individual quality at Les Blues' level, Mitrovic's side should notch their first goal of the competition and concede fewer than their tournament-opening loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest USA Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
47.47% ( 8.13)	23.25% ( -0.28)	29.28% ( -7.85)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

-1.34)

39.88% (

1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76% (

-1.4)

62.24% (

1.39)

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

2.85)

17.08% (

-2.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

4.82)

47.27% (

-4.82)

USA Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.91% (

-5.1)

26.08% (

5.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86% (

-7.38)

61.13% (

7.37)

Score Analysis

New Zealand Under-23s 47.47%

USA Under-23s 29.28%

Draw 23.25%

New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	USA Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.86) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 1.12) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 1.52) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.94) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 1.17) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.59) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.2) Other @ 4.11% Total : 47.47%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 7.11% ( -1.11) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -1.08) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -1.09) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.85) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.6) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.4) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.28%