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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brentford
3 - 1
Luton

Maupay (49'), Mee (56'), Baptiste (81')
Norgaard (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (76')
Kaminski (38'), Chong (50')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford snap a two-game losing run in the Premier League with a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
45.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 25.59% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.14% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.41% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)72.34% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.67% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.113 -0.11)31.54% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)67.93% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 45.27%
    Luton Town 29.14%
    Draw 25.58%
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Brentford vs Luton

Brentford
80.8%
Draw
14.1%
Luton Town
5.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 25
Brentford
1-0
Luton
Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Luton
0-3
Brentford

Hylton (54')
Henry (20'), Toney (29'), Forss (76')
Janelt (90')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Brentford
7-0
Luton
Mbeumo (6'), Watkins (29'), Jensen (33'), Dasilva (40', 45', 87' pen.), Benrahma (71' pen.)
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brentford
Wilkinson (40'), Zola (78')
Hofmann (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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