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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Bournemouth logo

Chelsea
vs.
Bournemouth

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash with Bournemouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We say: Chelsea 3-1 Bournemouth

The die should not be cast early on at Stamford Bridge, as Bournemouth have scored 10 goals via substitutes in the 2024-25 Premier League season, more than any other side in the top flight. However, the Cherries head to West London with depleted options in both attack and defence, and Chelsea's refreshed first-choice XI should bring the Cherries' magical unbeaten run to an end while simultaneously ending their worrying winless sequence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw has a probability of 16.4% and a win for Bournemouth has a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Bournemouth win it is 1-2 (3.91%).

Result
ChelseaDrawBournemouth
69.39% (3.973 3.97) 16.36% (-1.595 -1.6) 14.25% (-2.377 -2.38)
Both teams to score 63.52% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.15% (2.937 2.94)26.85% (-2.938 -2.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.71% (3.637 3.64)47.29% (-3.636 -3.64)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.96% (1.563 1.56)7.04% (-1.5611 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.27% (3.981 3.98)25.73% (-3.98 -3.98)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-0.789 -0.79)31.67% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.915 -0.91)68.09% (0.917 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 69.39%
    Bournemouth 14.25%
    Draw 16.36%
ChelseaDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.303 0.3)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.94% (0.407 0.41)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.599 -0.6)
4-1 @ 5.3% (0.585 0.59)
4-0 @ 4.61% (0.597 0.6)
3-2 @ 4.59% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
4-2 @ 3.04% (0.277 0.28)
5-1 @ 2.81% (0.498 0.5)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.477 0.48)
5-2 @ 1.62% (0.258 0.26)
6-1 @ 1.24% (0.297 0.3)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.083 0.08)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.276 0.28)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 69.39%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.853 -0.85)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.587 -0.59)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.557 -0.56)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.359 -0.36)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.25%

Who will win Tuesday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Bournemouth?

Chelsea
Draw
Bournemouth
Chelsea
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Bournemouth
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea

Christie (18'), Cook (35'), Sanchez (37'), Kluivert (59'), Iraola (66'), Senesi (80'), Semenyo (90+6')
Nkunku (86')
Fofana (31'), Cucurella (36'), Smith (38'), Jackson (52'), Colwill (57'), Sancho (57'), Veiga (87'), Felix (90+1')
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Chelsea
2-1
Bournemouth
Caicedo (17'), Sterling (48')
Semenyo (27'), Gusto (78')
Badiashile (49' og.)
Cucurella (28'), Kerkez (30'), Senesi (80')
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
Kerkez (62')
Sterling (4'), Mudryk (41'), Disasi (76'), Jackson (80'), Chilwell (90+5')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bournemouth
1-3
Chelsea
Vina (21')
Gallagher (9'), Badiashile (82'), Felix (86')
Dec 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Chelsea
2-0
Bournemouth
Havertz (16'), Mount (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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