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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Luton Town

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 1-2)
Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record their first-ever Premier League victory with a 2-1 triumph over Everton at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawLuton Town
37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 27.91% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 34.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.035999999999994 0.04)57.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.66% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.039999999999992 0.04)30.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Everton 37.12%
    Luton Town 34.95%
    Draw 27.91%
EvertonDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%

How you voted: Everton vs Luton

Everton
76.1%
Draw
12.8%
Luton Town
11.0%
109
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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