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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Burnley logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Burnley

Hudson-Odoi (61')
Mangala (32'), Montiel (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Amdouni (41')
Trafford (11'), Roberts (90+5'), Cullen (90+9')
Foster (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Burnley are denied a late winner by VAR as Callum Hudson-Odoi's stunning second-half strike helps Nottingham Forest rescue a 1-1 draw at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-5 Spurs
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
26.58% (-0.557 -0.56) 26.52% (0.336 0.34) 46.89% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-1.393 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (-1.6 -1.6)55.5% (1.603 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-1.328 -1.33)76.68% (1.331 1.33)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-1.326 -1.33)36.24% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-1.369 -1.37)73.02% (1.372 1.37)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.584 -0.58)23.66% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (-0.85100000000001 -0.85)57.76% (0.854 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 26.58%
    Burnley 46.89%
    Draw 26.52%
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.519 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.89%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Burnley

Nottingham Forest
77.0%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
9.3%
257
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Burnley

Kouyate (45+3'), Johnson (85'), Aurier (86')
Amdouni (90')
Ekdal (52'), Brownhill (66'), Muric (90+6'), Berge (90+7')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Murphy (33')
Gray (57')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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