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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Maritimo

Braga
5 - 0
Maritimo

Oliveira (9'), Medeiros (42'), Banza (57'), Ruiz (65'), Gomes (88')
Medeiros (20'), Silva (25'), Lainez (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Beltrame (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Braga
Friday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Chaves
Monday, August 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Maritimo

Buoyed by an emphatic victory over Famalicao, Braga will head into Sunday with renewed confidence as they look to put together an early run of form. Maritimo have stumbled into the new campaign and we expect the home side to extend their dominance in this fixture by coming away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawMaritimo
61.02% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 22.18% (-0.026 -0.03) 16.8% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.004999999999999 0)71.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.033999999999992 0.03)15.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.059999999999995 0.06)44.58% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)42.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.87% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Braga 61.01%
    Maritimo 16.8%
    Draw 22.18%
BragaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 61.01%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.8%

How you voted: Braga vs Maritimo

Braga
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Maritimo
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 6pm
Aug 7, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
0-2
Braga

Junior (19'), Costa (59'), Saenz (82')
Silva (61'), Horta (69')
Josue de Souza Silva (36'), Martins (58'), Fransergio (81')
Apr 29, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
1-0
Braga
Joel (76')
Andrade (24'), China (42'), Winck (71'), Guitane (78'), Correa (90+6')

Elmusrati (63'), Horta (90+4')
Jan 7, 2021 9pm
Braga
2-1
Maritimo
Medeiros (34'), Horta (67')
Horta (29'), Fransergio (52'), Elmusrati (70')
Milson (77')
Rene (16'), Morais (50'), Junior (79'), Jean (88')
Mar 1, 2020 5.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Braga
Correa (65')
Ferreira (20'), Bambock (40'), Bebeto (54'), Costa (65')
Trincao (5'), Paulinho (90')
Esgaio (45'), Fransergio (51'), Paulinho (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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