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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Rio Ave

Chaves
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Hernandez (32')
Hernandez (54'), Teixeira (63'), Vitor (90+1'), Monte (90+5'), Vitoria (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acevedo (90')
Joca (6'), Yakubu (18'), Pantalon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-1 Porto
Sunday, August 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave

Chaves and Rio Ave picked up one win apiece in their two meetings in the Segunda Liga last term, so we can expect another close contest on Monday. Both sides head into the game off the back of impressive wins and we predict that they will cancel each other out and settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChavesDrawRio Ave
43% (1.338 1.34) 27.75% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.25% (-1.353 -1.35)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.646 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.525 -0.52)58.62% (0.525 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82% (-0.41 -0.41)79.18% (0.411 0.41)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.47 0.47)27% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.613 0.61)62.36% (-0.612 -0.61)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (-1.306 -1.31)35.78% (1.308 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (-1.367 -1.37)72.55% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 43%
    Rio Ave 29.25%
    Draw 27.75%
ChavesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.376 0.38)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.25%

How you voted: Chaves vs Rio Ave

Chaves
44.4%
Draw
40.7%
Rio Ave
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
Apr 29, 2018 4pm
Rio Ave
2-1
Chaves
Pele (66' pen., 80' pen.)
Geraldes (45'), Tarantini (51'), Marcelo (74'), Lopes (82'), Ribeiro (84'), Teixeira (96'), Cassio (96')
Pereira (94')
Duarte (26'), Eustaquio (60'), Paulinho (80'), Pereira (82'), William (99')
Perdigao (65'), Platiny (100')
Dec 17, 2017 4pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Bressan (71')
Duarte (11'), Bardini Bressan (24'), Pereira (49')
Novais (6')
Nadjack (41'), Cassio (83'), Tarantini (84'), Ribeiro (85')
Marcelo (75')
May 14, 2017 4pm
Chaves
2-2
Rio Ave
Massaia (8'), Tiba (68')
Bressan (22'), Martins (35'), Tiba (35'), Rafael (87')
Guedes (59'), Tarantini (92')
Marcelo (45'), Moreira (62'), Cassio (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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