Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic has a probability of 30.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win is 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
43.79% ( -0.61) | 25.52% ( -0.06) | 30.69% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% ( 0.55) | 49.41% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( 0.49) | 71.45% ( -0.48) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% ( -0.05) | 22.5% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.94% ( -0.08) | 56.06% ( 0.08) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( 0.74) | 29.92% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% ( 0.89) | 66.02% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |