Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
