MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 16:20:10| >> :600:37866993:37866993:
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cluj Arena

France U21s
2 - 1
Italy U21s

Kalimuendo (22'), Barcola (62')
Nkounkou (15'), Adli (86')
Bade (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pellegri (36')
Scalvini (16'), Lovato (63'), Gnonto (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between France Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Netherlands U21s 2-1 France U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies

We said: France Under-21s 1-1 Italy Under-21s

Neither team suffered a single defeat during qualifying, highlighting the standard of their current Under-21 crops. Aware that they are clear favourites to prevail in their remaining group fixtures, avoiding defeat may become a priority during the latter stages, and we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
France Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
24.14% (0.106 0.11) 24.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 51.85% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.082999999999998 0.08)47.36% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.077999999999999 0.08)69.58% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
France Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (0.137 0.14)33.9% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (0.147 0.15)70.57% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.26% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)49.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    France Under-21s 24.14%
    Italy Under-21s 51.84%
    Draw 24.01%
France Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.16% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 10.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: France U21s vs Italy U21s

France Under-21s
56.8%
Draw
34.1%
Italy Under-21s
9.1%
44
Head to Head
May 29, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
France U21s
1-1
Italy U21s
Dembele (12')
Capone (76')
rhs 2.0
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