MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:09:28| >> :600:240625:240625:
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World Cup
Syria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
North Korea national football team

Syria
1 - 0
North Korea

Al Somah (37' pen.)
Al Midani (34'), Osman (72'), Mardikian (90+7'), Mardikian (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuk-Bom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Syria and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

Last Game: Syria 1-2 Kuwait
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

North Korea

Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 North Korea
Friday, July 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Syria 2-1 North Korea

 Given North Korea's absence from the international stage, the outcome of this contest is difficult to predict. It leaves us only able to predict a victory for Syria, albeit in a highly-competitive match with what could be at stake come the end of the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (13.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.

Result
SyriaDrawNorth Korea
81.94% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 13.29% (-0.028 -0.03) 4.77% (-0.0199 -0.02)
Both teams to score 31.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)45.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.022000000000006 0.02)67.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (0.016000000000005 0.02)8.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)29.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.97% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)65.03% (0.065000000000012 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.99% (-0.0281 -0.03)93.01% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Syria 81.93%
    North Korea 4.77%
    Draw 13.29%
SyriaDrawNorth Korea
2-0 @ 16.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 13.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 13.75%
4-0 @ 8.42% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 4.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62%
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.93%
1-1 @ 5.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.29%
0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 4.77%

How you voted: Syria vs North Korea

Syria
64.7%
Draw
11.8%
North Korea
23.5%
17
rhs 2.0
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