Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.