Erzgebirge Aue

2 - 1

Wurzburger

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Erzgebirge Aue in this match.