Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.