Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 9, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Real Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
Bellingham (63'), Valjent (90+3' og.), Rodrygo (90+5')
Bellingham (66'), Bellingham (66'), Camavinga (74'), Camavinga (74')
Bellingham (66'), Bellingham (66'), Camavinga (74'), Camavinga (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final against Mallorca.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Spanish Super Cup clash with Mallorca in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportiva Minera 0-5 Real Madrid
Monday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Monday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Pontevedra 3-0 Mallorca
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Mallorca
Real Madrid may have been held to a draw when they last faced Mallorca in August, but they have shown signs in recent times that they are building up a head of steam, and we think that their attacking talent will fire them to a relatively comfortable victory in Thursday's semi-final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
71.22% ( -0.11) | 18.17% ( 0.07) | 10.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.22) | 45.49% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0.21) | 67.82% ( 0.21) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.09) | 11.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.2) | 36.29% ( 0.2) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.13% ( -0.08) | 49.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.43% ( -0.05) | 84.57% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 71.22%
Mallorca 10.6%
Draw 18.18%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 2-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.22% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.18% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.6% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Mallorca
Real Madrid
88.0%Mallorca
12.0%108
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Madrid
1-0
Mallorca
Feb 5, 2023 1pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid injury, suspension news vs. Mallorca: David Alaba makes squad but will he be available?
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Spanish Super Cup clash with Mallorca in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
107 days ago
Real Madrid lineup vs. Mallorca: Predicted XI for Spanish Super Cup semi-final but will Vinicius Junior be available?
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final against Mallorca.
107 days ago
Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: Why is Luka Modric absent from Carlo Ancelotti's squad?
Experienced midfielder Luka Modric is not involved in Real Madrid's Spanish Super Cup semi-final against Mallorca due to illness.
105 days ago
