MX23RW : Monday, March 10 15:50:41| >> :60:200:200:
Real Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 9, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Mallorca logo

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Mallorca

Bellingham (63'), Valjent (90+3' og.), Rodrygo (90+5')
Bellingham (66'), Bellingham (66'), Camavinga (74'), Camavinga (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final against Mallorca.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Spanish Super Cup clash with Mallorca in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportiva Minera 0-5 Real Madrid
Monday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Pontevedra 3-0 Mallorca
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Mallorca

Real Madrid may have been held to a draw when they last faced Mallorca in August, but they have shown signs in recent times that they are building up a head of steam, and we think that their attacking talent will fire them to a relatively comfortable victory in Thursday's semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawMallorca
71.22% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 18.17% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 10.6% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (-0.221 -0.22)45.49% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.21 -0.21)67.82% (0.209 0.21)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)11.46% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.71% (-0.196 -0.2)36.29% (0.195 0.2)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.13% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)49.87% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (-0.054 -0.05)84.57% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.22%
    Mallorca 10.6%
    Draw 18.18%
Real MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 13.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.68% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.24% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 71.22%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 18.18%
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 3% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.6%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Mallorca

Real Madrid
88.0%
Mallorca
12.0%
108
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mallorca
1-1
Real Madrid
Muriqi (53')
Arrasate (45+3'), Maffeo (45+3')
Rodrygo (13')
Mendy (90+7')
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
0-1
Real Madrid

Raillo (16'), Muriqi (82')
Tchouameni (48')
Lunin (85')
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Madrid
1-0
Mallorca
Rudiger (78')
Rodrygo (35'), Lunin (45+2')

Van der Heyden (1'), Nastasic (61'), Maffeo (70')
Feb 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Mallorca
1-0
Real Madrid
Nacho (13' og.)
Sep 11, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Real Madrid
4-1
Mallorca
Valverde (45+3'), Junior (72'), Rodrygo (89'), Rudiger (90+3')
Muriqi (35')
rhs 2.0
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