Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.