Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1Empoli
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
52
We said: Bologna 2-0 Empoli (Bologna win 5-0 on aggregate)
There is very little chance of a second-leg fightback from Empoli, who have clearly signalled their intent to prioritise Serie A survival. Bologna, meanwhile, will aim to get the job done with the minimum of fuss, as they save energy for the final phase of their top-four push. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
57.68% ( -0.01) | 24.02% ( 0) | 18.3% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46% ( -0.01) | 54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% ( -0.01) | 75.44% ( 0.01) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -0.01) | 18.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.21% ( -0.01) | 49.79% ( 0.01) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% ( -0) | 43.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.2% ( -0) | 79.8% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 57.67%
Empoli 18.3%
Draw 24.01%
| Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.67% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.3% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Empoli
Bologna
84.8%Draw
9.1%Empoli
6.1%66
