Atletico3 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
for
Saturday, April 19 at 1pm in La Liga
for
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Atletico may be experiencing a frustrating run of form, but they tend to save their best performances for home matches, and we believe that they will do enough to edge out a Rayo side that have lost three of their previous four La Liga away games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
54.8% ( 0.06) | 22.61% ( 0.05) | 22.59% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.33) | 42.8% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.33) | 65.2% ( 0.33) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.1) | 15.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.18) | 44.46% ( 0.18) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.28) | 32.75% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.69% ( -0.31) | 69.31% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.59% |
