Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
41.75% ( 0.05)	24.64% ( 0.01)	33.61% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0.07)

44.47% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0.07)

66.84% (

0.06)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

-0.01)

21.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68% (

-0.01)

54.32% (

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

-0.08)

25.63% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-0.1)

60.53% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 41.75%

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33.61%

Draw 24.63%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.75%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.61%