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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Ettifaq
2 - 1
Al-Nassr

Quaison (47'), Dembele (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mane (4')
Al-Sulaiheem (13'), Al Naji (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Al-Nassr
Thursday, July 27 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al-Nassr

With Al-Nassr having very little time to rest and recover due to their involvement in the Arab Club Champions Cup final on Saturday, Al Ettifaq will sense an opportunity to cause an upset on the opening weekend. However, the visitors clearly have far more attacking firepower than Gerrard's side, and we believe they are more than capable of avoiding defeat at worst despite their clear disadvantage here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Nassr
14.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 20.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 64.12% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)47.31% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.54% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)43.95% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (-0.129 -0.13)80.08% (0.128 0.13)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.62% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 14.93%
    Al-Nassr 64.11%
    Draw 20.95%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.95%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 11.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.78% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.11%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr

Al Ettifaq
10.0%
Draw
11.4%
Al-Nassr
78.6%
70
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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