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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Ettifaq
2 - 1
Al-Nassr

Quaison (47'), Dembele (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mane (4')
Al-Sulaiheem (13'), Al Naji (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Al-Nassr
Thursday, July 27 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al-Nassr

With Al-Nassr having very little time to rest and recover due to their involvement in the Arab Club Champions Cup final on Saturday, Al Ettifaq will sense an opportunity to cause an upset on the opening weekend. However, the visitors clearly have far more attacking firepower than Gerrard's side, and we believe they are more than capable of avoiding defeat at worst despite their clear disadvantage here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Nassr
14.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 20.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 64.12% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)47.31% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.54% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)43.95% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (-0.129 -0.13)80.08% (0.128 0.13)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.62% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 14.93%
    Al-Nassr 64.11%
    Draw 20.95%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.95%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 11.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.78% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.11%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr

Al Ettifaq
10.0%
Draw
11.4%
Al-Nassr
78.6%
70
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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