AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 12, 2023 at 9.30am UK

Chang Arena

Buriram Utd
2 - 3
Ventforet Kofu

Boodjinda (48'), Causic (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hasegawa (24'), Utaka (38', 43')
Shinoda (0')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Buriram United and Ventforet Kofu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

Last Game: Zhejiang 3-2 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, November 29 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Ventforet Kofu

Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 3-3 Melbourne City
Wednesday, November 29 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Buriram United	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
61.61% ( 4.8)	20.71% ( -1.91)	17.67% ( -2.89)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

4.18)

41.21% (

-4.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

4.12)

63.6% (

-4.13)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

2.88)

12.87% (

-2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.73% (

5.61)

39.26% (

-5.61)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-0.65)

36.78% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.65)

73.57% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Buriram United 61.61%

Ventforet Kofu 17.67%

Draw 20.71%

Buriram United	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.81) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.71) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.81) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.72) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.39) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.41) Other @ 3.43% Total : 61.61%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -1) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.96) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.6) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -1.06) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.67%