MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 16:59:43| >> :60:541:541:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Chang Arena
Melbourne City

Buriram Utd
0 - 2
Melbourne City


Haiprakon (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopane (22'), MacLaren (41')
Reis (15'), Lopane (51'), Jakolis (82')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Buriram United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, October 4 at 11am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Melbourne City

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Buriram UnitedDrawMelbourne City
30.87% (0.549 0.55) 22.55% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 46.58% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 64.9% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.416 0.42)35.56% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.457 0.46)57.62% (-0.455 -0.45)
Buriram United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.53099999999999 0.53)22.95% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.771 0.77)56.74% (-0.768 -0.77)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)15.77% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)44.89% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Buriram United 30.87%
    Melbourne City 46.58%
    Draw 22.55%
Buriram UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Buriram Utd vs Melbourne City

Buriram United
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Melbourne City
25.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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