Persepolis

2 - 0

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Persepolis would win this match.