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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Ahmed bin Ali Stadium

Al-Rayyan
1 - 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Boli (90')
Ali Abdullatif (45+1'), Yasser (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davronov (14'), Kosmynin (50'), Bocoum (85')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Rayyan and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Rayyan

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Last Game: Al-Hilal 0-2 Al-Rayyan
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Next Game: Al-Duhail vs. Al-Rayyan
Thursday, February 2 at 11pm in AFC Champions League
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Istiqlol Dushanbe

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Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 2-0 Sharjah
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.

Result
Al-RayyanDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
47.24%22.65%30.11%
Both teams to score 64.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37%58.63%
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12%15.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91%45.09%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14%23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95%58.05%
Score Analysis
    Al-Rayyan 47.24%
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 30.11%
    Draw 22.65%
Al-RayyanDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 47.24%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.11%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 6.15pm
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2-3
Al-Rayyan
Sulaymanov (3'), Isaev (67')
Mabatshoev (41'), Isaev (50'), Davronov (87')
Brahimi (8'), Boli (44', 71')
Osama Abouelela (77')
rhs 2.0
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