Yokohama2 - 1Al-Ain
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 6 at 9am in J1 League
for
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Yokohama F Marinos 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday's first leg is close to call, with Kewell's inexperienced Yokohama hosting an Al-Ain side keen to secure a second title. Marinos' strength at home — five straight wins at Nissan Stadium in the AFC Champions League and one loss in 14 in all competitions as hosts — should see them secure a marginal advantage over Crespo's team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Al-Ain |
50.58% ( 0.21) | 20.53% ( -0.05) | 28.88% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 71.3% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.15) | 26.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.87% ( 0.19) | 47.13% ( -0.19) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( 0.11) | 11.27% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.24) | 35.87% ( -0.24) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.01) | 19.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.39% ( -0.01) | 51.61% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.88% |
