AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 11am UK
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium
Lee (19') Min-Kyu (34')
FT (HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos
With a second leg to come, it would come as a surprise if either team were particularly gung-ho in this match. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 41.86% . A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.66%) . The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
Result Ulsan Hyundai Draw Yokohama F Marinos 41.86% ( 0.96) 23.18% ( 0.05) 34.96% ( -1.01)
Both teams to score 64.25% ( -0.41)
62.89% ( -0.45) 37.11% ( 0.45)
40.7% ( -0.48) 59.3% ( 0.49)
81.78% ( 0.22) 18.22% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.76% ( 0.38) 49.24% ( -0.38)
78.56% ( -0.72) 21.44% ( 0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.55% ( -1.12) 54.45% ( 1.12)
Ulsan Hyundai 41.86%
Yokohama F Marinos 34.96%
Draw 23.17%
Ulsan Hyundai Draw Yokohama F Marinos 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.86% 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.17% 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.96%
rhs 2.0
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