Al-Nassr are a star-studded side consisting of players with a huge wealth of experience; they are also currently unbeaten in the AFC Champions League this season, making them one of the favorites. However, we think the hosts will hold their own here, which means the best the visitors should get is a draw ahead of the return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-Ain	Draw	Al-Nassr
45.82% ( 0.42)	22.76% ( 0.17)	31.41% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 64.39% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

-1.12)

36.35% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

-1.24)

58.48% (

1.24)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.28)

16.35% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.05% (

-0.51)

45.95% (

0.52)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.87)

23.02% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-1.3)

56.84% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Al-Ain 45.82%

Al-Nassr 31.41%

Draw 22.76%

Al-Ain	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.56% Total : 45.82%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.41%