Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
1 - 1
Rwanda

Mounie (82')
Mounie (88'), Verdon (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mugisha (13')
Sahabo (2'), Alos (3'), Muhire (53'), Mugisha (75'), Mugisha (75+75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Benin and Rwanda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda
Sunday, March 19 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Benin	Draw	Rwanda
61.54% ( 4.08)	26% ( -2.07)	12.46% ( -2.01)

Both teams to score 30.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.09% (

2.6)

67.91% (

-2.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.13% (

1.68)

85.87% (

-1.68)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

2.95)

22.63% (

-2.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74% (

4.2)

56.26% (

-4.2)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.67% (

-1.57)

60.33% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.18% (

-0.82)

90.81% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Benin 61.53%

Rwanda 12.46%

Draw 25.99%

Benin	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 20.28% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 15.07% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1.12) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.61) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.53%	0-0 @ 13.65% ( -1.38) 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.38) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.46%