Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Benin had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.