Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
