Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Orebro win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.