Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elfsborg in this match.