Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.76%) and 0-3 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Orebro win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
