Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.02%) and 3-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.13%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
