Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
