Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.