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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 0
Colon

Cejas (24' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (49'), Toledo (59'), Botta (67'), Garces (72')
Goltz (67')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Colon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Arsenal
Friday, October 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-2 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Colon had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Sarandi in this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawColon
36.37% (0.243 0.24) 29.85% (0.297 0.3) 33.77% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 42.48% (-0.831 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.32% (-0.977 -0.98)64.68% (0.977 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (-0.694 -0.69)83.66% (0.693 0.69)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)33.93% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.387 -0.39)70.61% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.90499999999999 -0.9)35.71% (0.905 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.942 -0.94)72.48% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 36.37%
    Colon 33.76%
    Draw 29.84%
Arsenal SarandiDrawColon
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.11% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.84%
0-1 @ 12.47% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
Arsenal
2-0
Colon
Goltz (36' og.), Pons (90+6' pen.)
Toloza (16'), Londono (69'), Toloza (76')

Garces (15'), Picco (82'), Arrua (87')
Aug 12, 2022 1.30am
Apr 30, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 13
Arsenal
2-0
Colon
Colman (69'), Lomonaco (85')
Chimino (20'), Picco (43')

Novillo (30'), Moschion (76'), Farias (79')
Sep 14, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Arsenal
0-0
Colon
Suso (30'), Farioli (56'), Papa (58')
Bianchi (74'), Delgado (87')
May 1, 2021 1am
First Phase
Colon
2-0
Arsenal
Bianchi (14'), Farias (45+1')
Lertora (28'), Farias (60'), Miguel Rodriguez (90+5')

G (89')
rhs 2.0
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