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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 1
Arsenal

Castro (13'), Mendez (77')
Castro (1'), Prestianni (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brochero (47')
Guzman (32'), Londono (55'), Rivero (69'), Cabrera (79'), Brochero (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, September 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
53.99% (2.712 2.71) 26.86% (-0.584 -0.58) 19.14% (-2.128 -2.13)
Both teams to score 40.02% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.41% (-0.123 -0.12)62.59% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83% (-0.09 -0.09)82.16% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (1.165 1.16)23.51% (-1.164 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (1.66 1.66)57.55% (-1.658 -1.66)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (-2.46 -2.46)47.68% (2.461 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (-1.889 -1.89)83% (1.89 1.89)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 53.98%
    Arsenal Sarandi 19.14%
    Draw 26.86%
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 16.22% (0.61 0.61)
2-0 @ 11.74% (0.82 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.573 0.57)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.155 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.269 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-0 @ 11.21% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.553 -0.55)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.439 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head
Jul 1, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 22
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Arsenal
Castro (77')

Pombo (54'), Muscia (58'), Souto (76')
Sep 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 18
Arsenal
2-2
Velez Sarsfield
Chimino (41'), Diaz (59' pen.)
Gariglio (31' og.), Brizuela (87')
Mar 11, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 6
Arsenal
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Martinez (58')
Martinez (84')
Gomez (90+6')
Oct 16, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Arsenal
Poblete (20'), Ortega (35'), Mulet (81')
Mendez (29'), Papa (45+2'), Ruiz (71')
Feb 23, 2020 8.35pm
Gameweek 21
Arsenal
0-4
Velez Sarsfield

Cerica (28'), Mendez (36')
Centurion (13'), Janson (16'), Romero (47', 64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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