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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Fernandez (11'), Rojo (58'), Villa (68')
Fabra (3'), Fernandez (20'), Zambrano (45+5'), Payero (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morel (76')
Morel (28'), Castro (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-1 Barracas Central
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Estudiantes

 There is very little to separate the teams right now and either of them could end up victorious in this one. However, we just about fancy Boca Junior to see off the threat of Estudiantes, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
61.7% (-0.122 -0.12) 22.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.09% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.232 0.23)50.34% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.206 0.21)72.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.040000000000006 0.04)15.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.306 0.31)44.2% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.249 0.25)80.29% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 61.69%
    Estudiantes 16.09%
    Draw 22.2%
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estudiantes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
0-1
Boca Juniors

Godoy (8'), Morel (45')
Advincula (54')
Molinas (15'), Fabra (41'), Advincula (43'), Rojo (50'), Fernandez (68'), Orsini (89')
Aug 15, 2021 10pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (76')
Sanchez Mino (42'), Noguera (63'), Del Prete (90+1')

Rojo (65')
Sep 16, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Estudiantes
Reynoso (4')
Marcone (14'), Weigandt (20'), Capaldo (31'), Fabra (69')

Gomez (18'), Kalinski (45')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Estudiantes
2-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (58'), Pellegrini (75')
Apaolaza (32'), Luguercio (65'), Pellegrini (94')

Nandez (24'), Goltz (32'), Barrios (49'), Perez (78'), Zarate (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan15762157827
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9Deportivo Riestra167361818024
10GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
11Boca Juniors155641915421
12BelgranoBelgrano155641919021
13Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
14Platense155461314-119
15LanusLanus154741822-419
16Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz144641515018
18IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
19Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
20EstudiantesEstudiantes154561516-117
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Sarmiento153661115-415
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa152671022-1212
28Barracas Central15258619-1311
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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